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Thursday, February 5, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Idaho State Bengals

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:45

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Better than predicted

Droughts

~11

+0

Pts Ceded

~95

-4

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:59

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 21 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much better than predicted

Droughts

~31

-2

Pts Ceded

~214

-17

Idaho State Bengals averages 2 droughts/game  · Northern Arizona Lumberjacks forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

2

Both teams combined

Idaho State Bengals Droughts

1

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Droughts

1

Longest Drought

3:51

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Drought Point Swing

9

Total unanswered points during droughts

Idaho State Bengals Drought Impact

1 drought5 unanswered points allowed

5.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

1 drought4 unanswered points allowed

4.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Idaho State Bengals

Idaho State Bengals

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 4446 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Jamison Guerra makes driving layup

2-Pointer

3:18

11.0 opp pts

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 5356 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Brennan Peterson makes 23-foot three point jumper (Ryan Abelman assists)

3-Pointer

3:51

11.6 opp pts