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Thursday, February 5, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Idaho State Bengals

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

3:45

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 7 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Unexpected drought

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~7→5

-2

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:59

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 16 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~16→4

-12

Idaho State Bengals averages 1 droughts/game  · Northern Arizona Lumberjacks forces 1 opp. droughts/game

2

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Idaho State Bengals droughts

1

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks droughts

3:51

Longest drought

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

9

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Idaho State Bengals drought cost

1 drought • 5 pts drought cost

5

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks drought cost

1 drought • 4 pts drought cost

4

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Idaho State Bengals

Idaho State Bengals

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 44 → 46 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Jamison Guerra makes driving layup

2-Pointer

3:18

5.0 pts

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 53 → 56 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Brennan Peterson makes 23-foot three point jumper (Ryan Abelman assists)

3-Pointer

3:51

4.0 pts