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Thursday, February 26, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Idaho Vandals

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ No drought, as expected

Droughts

~1→0

-1

Pts ceded

~8→0

-8

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:59

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~14→22

+8

Idaho Vandals averages 1 droughts/game  · Northern Arizona Lumberjacks forces 1 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

0

Idaho Vandals droughts

3

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks droughts

4:12

Longest drought

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

22

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks drought cost

3 droughts • 22 pts drought cost

22

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Idaho Vandals

Idaho Vandals

0

No notable droughts

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

3
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 7 → 9 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Ryan Abelman makes 13-foot jumper

2-Pointer

4:12

8.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 33 → 34 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Karl Poom makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:39

10.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 2 → 4 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Karl Poom makes layup

2-Pointer

3:06

4.0 pts