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Saturday, January 17, 2026

Conference game
Tennessee VolunteersTennessee Volunteers

78

vs
Kentucky WildcatsKentucky Wildcats

80

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Tennessee Volunteers

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:50

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~8→7

-1

Kentucky Wildcats

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:40

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~9→14

+5

Tennessee Volunteers averages 1 droughts/game  · Kentucky Wildcats forces 2 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Tennessee Volunteers droughts

2

Kentucky Wildcats droughts

3:18

Longest drought

Kentucky Wildcats

21

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Kentucky Wildcats drought cost

2 droughts • 14 pts drought cost

14

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Tennessee Volunteers drought cost

1 drought • 7 pts drought cost

7

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Tennessee Volunteers

Tennessee Volunteers

1
1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 41 → 42 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Nate Ament makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:06

7.0 pts

Kentucky Wildcats

Kentucky Wildcats

2
1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 31 → 32 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Denzel Aberdeen makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:18

3.0 pts

1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 8 → 11 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Jasper Johnson makes 25-foot three point jumper (Brandon Garrison assists)

3-Pointer

3:12

11.0 pts