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Thursday, January 29, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Tennessee State Tigers

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:50

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~8→15

+7

Little Rock Trojans

High confidence

1

est. droughts

4:10

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~11→8

-3

Tennessee State Tigers averages 1 droughts/game  · Little Rock Trojans forces 1 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Tennessee State Tigers droughts

1

Little Rock Trojans droughts

4:09

Longest drought

Little Rock Trojans

23

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Little Rock Trojans drought cost

1 drought • 8 pts drought cost

8

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Tennessee State Tigers drought cost

2 droughts • 15 pts drought cost

15

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Tennessee State Tigers

Tennessee State Tigers

2
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 17 → 20 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Aaron Nkrumah makes 23-foot three point jumper (Travis Harper II assists)

3-Pointer

4:05

8.0 pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 30 → 33 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Damon Howard Jr. makes 25-foot three point jumper (Aaron Nkrumah assists)

3-Pointer

3:29

7.0 pts

Little Rock Trojans

Little Rock Trojans

1
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 40 → 43 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Johnathan Lawson makes 25-foot three point jumper (Braxton Bayless assists)

3-Pointer

4:09

8.0 pts