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Saturday, January 3, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Southern Utah Thunderbirds

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:47

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 18 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~18→17

-1

UT Arlington Mavericks

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

3:59

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Unexpected drought

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~8→9

+1

Southern Utah Thunderbirds averages 2 droughts/game  · UT Arlington Mavericks forces 2 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Southern Utah Thunderbirds droughts

1

UT Arlington Mavericks droughts

4:15

Longest drought

Southern Utah Thunderbirds

26

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Southern Utah Thunderbirds drought cost

2 droughts • 17 pts drought cost

17

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

UT Arlington Mavericks drought cost

1 drought • 9 pts drought cost

9

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Southern Utah Thunderbirds

2
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 15 → 16 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Jalen Lee misses free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

4:15

6.0 pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 43 → 45 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Dylan Jones makes 13-foot jumper

2-Pointer

3:18

11.0 pts

UT Arlington Mavericks

UT Arlington Mavericks

1
1st Halfnotable

Score: 6 → 7 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Marcus Rigsby Jr. makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:33

9.0 pts