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Saturday, January 3, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Tarleton State Texans

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:58

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 20 pts ceded/game

Final Results

As predicted

Droughts

~33

+0

Pts Ceded

~2022

+2

California Baptist Lancers

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:56

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 19 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Better than predicted

Droughts

~32

-1

Pts Ceded

~1913

-6

Tarleton State Texans averages 2 droughts/game  · California Baptist Lancers forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

5

Both teams combined

Tarleton State Texans Droughts

3

California Baptist Lancers Droughts

2

Longest Drought

3:47

California Baptist Lancers

Drought Point Swing

35

Total unanswered points during droughts

2 droughts13 unanswered points allowed

13.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Tarleton State Texans Drought Impact

3 droughts22 unanswered points allowed

22.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Tarleton State Texans

Tarleton State Texans

3
2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 6062 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Dior Johnson makes 11-foot pullup jump shot

2-Pointer

3:13

13.5 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 810 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Kade Douglas makes 9-foot hook shot

2-Pointer

3:07

12.3 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 1213 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Freddy Hicks makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:05

15.2 opp pts

California Baptist Lancers

California Baptist Lancers

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 2628 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Miles Daniels makes 14-foot floating jump shot

2-Pointer

3:47

15.2 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 3738 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Dominique Daniels Jr. makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:22

11.4 opp pts